BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Fort Madison Trinity

Class: 1A Class Rank: 22 Conference: (15-4) Overall: (19-5) Overall Strength =   76.39

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2008 Home    W *  61.72  57   30   1A  125 ( 2-21) Fairfield Maharishi   -12.42 *   39.42                      
  2 12/05/2008 Home    W *  90.07  74   54   2A   74 (14- 8) Danville               15.93      4.07                      
  3 12/06/2008 Home    W    75.82  65   57   3A   58 ( 5-18) Fort Madison            1.68      6.32                      
  4 12/12/2008 Away    L *  83.24  55   56   1A   10 (23- 4) Notre Dame              9.11    -10.11                      
  5 12/20/2008 Home    W *  63.42  52   46   1A   78 ( 9-13) New London            -10.72     16.72                      
  6 01/03/2009 Away    W    82.08  59   39   1A   88 ( 8-14) Wayland WACO            7.94     12.06                      
  7 01/06/2009 Home    W *  78.18  78   34   1A  134 ( 1-21) Farmington Harmony      4.04 *   39.96                      
  8 01/09/2009 Home    L *  54.87  51   62   2A   90 (11-12) Keosauqua Van Buren   -19.27      8.27                      
  9 01/10/2009 Away    W *  70.14  71   60   2A  115 ( 8-14) West Burlington        -4.00     15.00  was 12/19 now 01/10 
 10 01/13/2009 Away    W *  60.81  70   47   1A  125 ( 2-21) Fairfield Maharishi   -13.33 *   36.33                      
 11 01/16/2009 Away    W *  76.16  58   55   2A   74 (14- 8) Danville                2.02      0.98                      
 12 01/17/2009 Home    L *  76.92  54   62   2A   22 (21- 5) Central Lee             2.78    -10.78  was 12/16 now 01/17 
 13 01/20/2009 Away    W *  63.67  63   52   1A  108 ( 6-16) Eldon Cardinal        -10.46     21.46                      
 14 01/23/2009 Home    W *  82.16  38   37   1A   10 (23- 4) Notre Dame              8.02     -7.02                      
 15 01/24/2009 Home    W *  70.59  61   40   1A  108 ( 6-16) Eldon Cardinal         -3.55 *   24.55  was 12/09 now 01/24 
 16 01/27/2009 Away    L *  71.01  48   65   2A   22 (21- 5) Central Lee            -3.13    -13.87                      
 17 01/30/2009 Home    W *  69.05  59   46   2A  115 ( 8-14) West Burlington        -5.09     18.09                      
 18 02/03/2009 Away    W *  87.51  62   35   1A   78 ( 9-13) New London             13.37     13.63                      
 19 02/06/2009 Away    W *  59.27  63   41   1A  134 ( 1-21) Farmington Harmony    -14.87 *   36.87                      
 20 02/10/2009 Away    W *  81.96  67   54   2A   90 (11-12) Keosauqua Van Buren     7.82      5.18                      
 21 02/13/2009 Away    W    67.29  51   47   1A   79 (11-11) Riverside Highland     -6.85     10.85                      
 22 02/19/2009 Home    W *  73.72  64   25   1A  125 ( 2-21) Fairfield Maharishi    -0.42 *   39.42                      
 23 02/24/2009 Home    W   103.54  66   25   1A   62 (12-11) North Mahaska          29.40     11.60                      
 24 02/26/2009 Neutral L    76.12  69   70   1A   21 (19- 5) Lynnville-Sully         1.98     -2.98                      
      Averages              74.14  60.6 47.5

Best game:  103.54 = 41 point win over New Sharon North Mahaska
Worst game:  54.87 = 11 point loss to Keosauqua Van Buren
Team stdev:  11.16